Jun 19, 2013

The Vegas Corner

I will continue my look at the Mets from a Vegas perspective.

I will use the number of a bettor trying to win $100 if the Mets are a favorite, and will bet $100 if the Mets are an underdog. I will also keep track of the over/under record.

5/27/10 vs.  Phillies-

 Line: Mets (24-23)  +113W (+204 for season)

 Total:  Under 7.5  (22-24-1 Over/Season)

Runline: (32-16) +1704 for season

Mets From A Vegas Perspective

The cardinal rule of betting is to bet with your head and not with your heart but it’s not always the easiest advice to follow. Brian posted a blog earlier in spring training about the over/under for the season so I figured I should go investigate at the local casino to find all of the bets people can make on our Metsies. For those of you that visit Vegas (or if you have other means of betting…haha), these bets just may make you rich!

As of 3/17/10:

Mets over/under 83 (Over +145, Under -165)

Odds to win series: 37/1 Rank (18th best odds)

Odds to be NL Champ: 18/1 (10th)

Odds to win NL East: 7/1 (4th)

First team to 80 wins: 18/1 (10th includes field)

Will their be a Subway Series this year? (Yes +1800, No -2500)

Which group will produce champ? (NYY,LAD,MIN, NYM) 7/5, (BOS, LAA, STL, CHC) 2/1, (PHI, COL, TB, DET) 5/2, (CHW,TEX,ATL,ARI) 12/1, FIELD 8/1

Luckily the Mets are not listed for who will lose the most games this year!!!

A few interesting prop bets are: Home Run total 47, RBI 144.5, Wins 20.5, Saves 47.5, Win total team 100.5, Loss total 101.5

Well, if you are a bettor all I can offer you is good luck! As the season goes on I plan to keep track of how much a bettor would be making (or losing) if they were to bet individual games on the Mets. Happy betting!

Mets over/under 81, where’s your money?

It’s been announced that the over/under for the Mets season in Vegas is 81. Basically that’s .500 baseball. Curious to see what you guys out there think and if you were gonna lay some money down (hypothetically speaking of course) which way would you go?

My initial reaction is to go over. But as I know myself pretty well I know better then to make a quick judgement when it comes to my Metropolitans. I want to make sure that’s what I actually think, and not what I want to think. It just sounds like such a low number, 81, that I feel like I am almost giving up on the season if I go under.

But as you think about it, you have to recognize the strength of the division. There is no patsy in this division anymore. Everyone knows the Phillies are loaded and barring a plane crash they should be big favorites for another division crown. A lot of people have been so focused on the Mets and Phils that they haven’t really given the Braves or the Marlins their due. They are a lot like the Mets with a lot of question marks, but like the Mets if things break right they can be good teams. Add onto that the improvements that the Nationals have made this offseason and you can see what I am getting at. Not having that really bad team makes it hard to pad your record.

The same fear I have when talking about winning the Wild Card holds true here too. It may be the case that the NL East is the strongest division in the MLB top to bottom and that they will all beat each other up so much that nobody will win the Wild Card. Same goes for pushing those win numbers north of 85.

In the end if it were my cash, I would still go with the over. I think this team is due for some good breaks, and besides, it’s my personal experience that under’s are never fun to root for when gambling.